Democrats have gone from trailing in voter preference for which party should control the House to leading after Roe was repealed.
According to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll:
Among registered voters, if the election were held today, 45 percent say they would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives, while 44 percent say the Republican Party, and 11 percent did not offer an opinion. In Quinnipiac University’s June 8, 2022 poll, 46 percent of registered voters said the Republican Party, while 41 percent said the Democratic Party, and 13 percent did not offer an opinion.
Voters are evenly split on which party they would want to see win control of the United States Senate with 45 percent saying the Democratic Party, 45 percent saying the Republican Party, and 10 percent not offering an opinion. This compares to Quinnipiac University’s May 18, 2022 poll when 48 percent of registered voters said the Republican Party, 44 percent said the Democratic Party, and 8 percent did not offer an opinion.
Neither political party is popular, which is expected during high inflation and gas prices, but the Supreme Court overturn of Roe has shifted momentum in the midterm election.
The idea that the November election would be a red wave is becoming more distant by the day, as what is taking shape is a base election where neither party may have a clear advantage.
The idea that Democrats could keep the House doesn’t seem so far-fetched today, and the notion that Democrats will retain control of the Senate could soon become the likely outcome.
Things are moving in the right direction for Democrats, as the Supreme Court may have killed the red wave.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association
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