Trump's Road To The White House Narrows Even More As Clinton Leads By 9 In New Hampshire

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Last updated on July 17th, 2023 at 09:13 pm

A new poll of New Hampshire shows Hillary Clinton with a 9 point lead over Donald Trump as the Republican path to retaking the White House is narrowing.

According to the Monmouth University poll of New Hampshire:

Among Granite State voters likely to participate in November’s presidential election, 47% support Clinton and 38% back Trump. Another 10% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and 3% are currently undecided.

Clinton has the support of 94% of self-identified Democrats while Trump gets the backing of 85% of Republicans. Clinton edges Trump among the state’s sizable bloc of independents by 42% to 35%.

Clinton has the advantage among voters under 50 years old (45% to 35%) as well as those age 50 and older (49% to 41%). Clinton leads among women (56% to 30%) and voters with a college degree (54% to 31%). Trump leads among men (47% to 37%) and voters without a college education (47% to 40%).

Polls in the last two days have shown Clinton leading in Pennsylvania, Florida, and New Hampshire.

Here is what her Electoral College total looks like if she wins Pennsylvania, Florida, and New Hampshire:

In this scenario, Trump could win every other swing state, and still lose the election. The map above illustrates why the national poll numbers mean less than the state results. Hillary Clinton has more options and pathways to victory than Donald Trump.

Trump needs to win every swing state that he can get, so a loss even in tiny New Hampshire narrows his path to victory.

Donald Trump is trying to win New Hampshire, but the latest polling suggests that the state may be a lost cause.

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Jason Easley

Jason is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.

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Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association

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