While the eyes of the nation are on Kentucky, there is an upset brewing in the Georgia Senate contest. A new poll released today, became the third in a row that shows Democrat Michelle Nunn leading David Perdue.
A new poll that was done by SurveyUSA for 11Alive News shows that Republicans have a Georgia problem,
Democrat Senate hopeful Michelle Nunn holds 46 percent of the vote, while Republican David Perdue has 44 percent. SurveyUSA said support for Perdue has steadily, yet slightly declined over the past six weeks, while Nunn has gained ground, albeit not consistently.
Libertarian Senate candidate Amanda Swafford polled at 4 percent, not quite enough to determine if her presence in the race will force a runoff election. Seven percent of the 606 voters polled said they are still undecided.
Last week, the same polled showed Nunn with a 48%-45% lead. These results lineup with a WBRL poll that had Nunn leading 46%-45%. Republicans are deeply panicked in the state because Democrats have registered over 100,000 new African-American, Hispanic, Asian, and young voters. Research shows that people who register to vote are exponentially more likely to show up and vote in same year’s election.
With less than two weeks to go, Republicans are in real danger of losing in Georgia. The conventional wisdom that has been pushed by pundits in the media is that Republicans will keep the Senate seats in Kentucky and Georgia, but he polling data and evidence on the ground has not been sufficient to back up those claims.
It is looking more and more likely that Republicans could lose one or both of the Senate seats in Kentucky and Georgia. Should this happen, the Republican path to take over the Senate becomes much more difficult. If Democrats win in Kentucky or Georgia, plus a win in Iowa, or an Independent candidate in Kansas, would result in Republicans likely not winning a majority in the Senate.
David Perdue in Georgia has been deeply stung by revelations of his boasts about outsourcing jobs, while Nunn has run a solid campaign. The difference in what looks to be a very close election might be those hundred thousand new voters that Democrats and other groups have registered.
The mainstream media narrative about the 2014 election could end up being very wrong because Democrats are alive and well in the battle over control of the U.S. Senate.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association
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